Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.4% | 21.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.7% | 22.3% | -6.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -16 (83-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 38 | 5-18 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 35 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 29 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 18 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Devean George * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eddie Jones | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Telfair * | 38 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Al Jefferson * | 37 | 10-19 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Marko Jaric * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Gomes * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Rashad McCants * | 28 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Randy Foye * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Corey Brewer * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Craig Smith * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
* = starter