Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -15 (83-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 10-12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 25 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 35 | 9-27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 3 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 31 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 20 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 27 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Devean George * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse | 18 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Malik Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gay * | 37 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 34 | 5-16 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 31 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Juan Carlos Navarro * | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Javaris Crittenton * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Andre Brown | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter