Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +12 (109-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devean George * | 43 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 41 | 12-23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 11 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 12-31 | 0-2 | 12-14 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 17 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nick Fazekas | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raja Bell * | 41 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 38 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 22 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 38 | 9-17 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 11-11 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 36 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| DJ Strawberry * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sean Marks * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter