Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Chicago Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Bulls +7 (99-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 42 | 11-21 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 19 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 40 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 40 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 26 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 26 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 21 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andres Nocioni * | 42 | 8-18 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas * | 38 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 34 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Kirk Hinrich * | 33 | 10-18 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Gray | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter