Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +20 (96-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Roy * | 42 | 10-21 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 15 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 29 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 27 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Josh McRoberts | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Taurean Green | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 39 | 10-19 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 13-26 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 25 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 37 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Devean George * | 33 | 0-11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Bass | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nick Fazekas | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter