Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 51.5% | 48.5% | -0.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +16 (96-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Daniels * | 32 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Andre Owens * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Kareem Rush * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| David Harrison * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Shawne Williams * | 18 | 1-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ike Diogu * | 12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Stephen Graham * | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Johnson * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 22 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 20 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 19 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes | 11 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Walter Herrmann | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Primoz Brezec | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter