Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✗ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -10 (94-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 43 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 27 | - |
| Kobe Bryant * | 42 | 10-15 | 2-5 | 11-11 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 24 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Farmar * | 21 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Sasha Vujacic * | 20 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 18 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Ronny Turiaf * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 44 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 36 | 9-15 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 33 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Marcus Banks | 14 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
* = starter