Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 26.2% | 73.8% | +5.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +19 (108-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 31 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Al Horford * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 26 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 10-11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Acie Law * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mario West | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tyronn Lue | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 30 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 30 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 23 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 25 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 20 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 12 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Mike James | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter