Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +11 (92-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 33 | 8-18 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 30 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Juan Carlos Navarro * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Javaris Crittenton * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Kwame Brown | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Brian Cardinal | 7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 26 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 25 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 25 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 22 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Devean George * | 21 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 11 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Trenton Hassell | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Maurice Ager | 5 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter