Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.9% | 75.1% | +6.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons +23 (90-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 40 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 3-18 | 0-5 | 9-9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Devean George | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maurice Ager | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 36 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 33 | 9-18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 31 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 28 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 19 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Arron Afflalo | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Walter Herrmann | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter