Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 46.7% | 53.3% | +0.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -3 (103-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Battier * | 41 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 38 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 37 | 6-19 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 36 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Luther Head * | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Carl Landry | 20 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 38 | 7-20 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 38 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 26 | - |
| Travis Diener * | 26 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Shawne Williams * | 20 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Kareem Rush * | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| David Harrison * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
* = starter