Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.5% | 63.5% | +3.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -1 (83-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 43 | 13-29 | 3-6 | 8-12 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 37 | 26 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 36 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 33 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 24 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 23 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Ira Newble * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cedric Simmons * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dwayne Jones * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Roy * | 38 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 31 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| James Jones * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 15 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 10 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter