Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | -2.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +16 (107-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 41 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 39 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Luke Jackson * | 34 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 17 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Alexander Johnson | 3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwight Howard * | 43 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 37 | 8-13 | 0-3 | 11-12 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 33 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 22 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
* = starter