Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | +1.8 | ✗ (31.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -30 (87-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Powe * | 36 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| James Posey * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Rajon Rondo * | 24 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Eddie House * | 23 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Glen Davis * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kendrick Perkins * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Gabe Pruitt | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 27 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 18 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Luke Jackson | 20 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
* = starter