Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.7% | 29.3% | -4.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -6 (104-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Hamilton * | 38 | 6-18 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Rasheed Wallace * | 32 | 10-18 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 15 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Amir Johnson * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Dunleavy * | 40 | 9-15 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 26 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 39 | 5-15 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Travis Diener * | 36 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Kareem Rush * | 29 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 7-7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Andre Owens * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shawne Williams * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| David Harrison * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Stephen Graham | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter