Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✗ (21.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -19 (84-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 38 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 35 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 34 | 10-17 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 19 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Devean George | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Maurice Ager | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Lowry * | 42 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 6-14 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 40 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Juan Carlos Navarro * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Hakim Warrick * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Andre Brown | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter