Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (98-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Rush * | 41 | 5-16 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 40 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 38 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 17 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Andre Owens * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Travis Diener * | 22 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Shawne Williams * | 10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 41 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 12-20 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 26 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 36 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 4 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter