Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 27.1% | 72.9% | +5.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -7 (90-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 39 | 11-26 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 10 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 19 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 43 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 17-29 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 26 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 30 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 11 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Mark Blount | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
* = starter