Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.7% | 95.3% | +16.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +7 (96-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Durant * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 34 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Nick Collison * | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 25 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 22 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 19 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Johan Petro * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 41 | 5-17 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 38 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 31 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 29 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 25 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Luther Head * | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter