Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.3% | 33.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +18 (102-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 41 | 11-16 | 3-3 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 24 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 33 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 22 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trenton Hassell | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Devean George | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caron Butler * | 44 | 10-20 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 39 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 38 | 7-19 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 38 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Nick Young * | 13 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Oleksiy Pecherov * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Andray Blatche | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter