Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.3% | 50.7% | +0.2 | ✓ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +15 (111-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Collison * | 37 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 30 | 9-15 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 15 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Jeff Green * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 24 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -5 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Luke Ridnour * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Chris Wilcox * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Damien Wilkins * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Delonte West * | 12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Johan Petro | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 37 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 24 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 17 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter