Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 44.8% | 55.2% | +1.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +2 (83-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 39 | 10-21 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 33 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Francisco Elson | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Brent Barry | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ming Yao * | 39 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 29 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 34 | 6-15 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 26 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Luther Head * | 22 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -1 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 21 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 18 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
* = starter