Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.0% | 71.0% | +4.9 | ✗ (34.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -30 (96-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Gordon * | 36 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 8-10 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Luol Deng * | 31 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Chris Duhon * | 29 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 26 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Thabo Sefolosha * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Andres Nocioni * | 18 | 8-13 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Joakim Noah * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Tyrus Thomas | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Gray | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Adrian Griffin | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Viktor Khryapa | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 38 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 9-21 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 35 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -4 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 14 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Mark Blount | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Chris Quinn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alexander Johnson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter