Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 57.4% | 42.6% | -1.6 | ✗ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +2 (122-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 35 | 8-10 | 2-3 | 7-9 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 21 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 34 | 10-16 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 28 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 25 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Devean George * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Salmons * | 42 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 38 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Beno Udrih * | 36 | 5-16 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Francisco Garcia * | 35 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Mikki Moore * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Martin * | 27 | 14-16 | 2-2 | 9-11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 39 | 26 | - |
| Quincy Douby * | 17 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dahntay Jones * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Justin Williams * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Hawes | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter