Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 55.0% | 45.0% | -1.1 | ✗ (27.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +26 (114-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Blount * | 37 | 13-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 36 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 30 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Luke Jackson | 9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Joel Anthony | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dorell Wright | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David West * | 33 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Chris Paul * | 33 | 7-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Tyson Chandler * | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 28 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Bobby Jackson * | 24 | 9-9 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Melvin Ely * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jannero Pargo * | 19 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Ryan Bowen * | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Vinicius | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Hilton Armstrong | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Rasual Butler | 5 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter