Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 25.2% | 74.8% | +6.0 | ✓ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +16 (102-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Wallace * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Richard Hamilton * | 30 | 9-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | - |
| Chauncey Billups * | 29 | 6-14 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Tayshaun Prince * | 27 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Rodney Stuckey * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jason Maxiell * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Antonio McDyess * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Arron Afflalo * | 12 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Walter Herrmann | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Primoz Brezec | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Amir Johnson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 34 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 30 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 30 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 24 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 22 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Devean George | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Juwan Howard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Trenton Hassell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter