Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +7 (101-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 40 | 11-19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 39 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 30 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 29 | 7-20 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 45 | 10-21 | 0-1 | 8-9 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 20 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 38 | 10-17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 33 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 12-13 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Juan Carlos Navarro | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter