Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +5 (94-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Quinn * | 46 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 42 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 35 | 6-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 27 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Luke Jackson * | 20 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Alexander Johnson | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 38 | 7-17 | 0-4 | 4-8 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 8-20 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 33 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 27 | 5-9 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Devean George * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter