Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | -0.5 | ✗ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +22 (121-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 39 | 8-21 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 36 | 2-14 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 32 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 24 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kelenna Azubuike * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marco Belinelli | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brandan Wright | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick O'Bryant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 41 | 8-19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 9-16 | 3-4 | 8-8 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 28 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 23 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 22 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Devean George | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Trenton Hassell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter