Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 33.2% | 66.8% | +3.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -5 (98-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mo Williams * | 44 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Andrew Bogut * | 39 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Charlie Bell * | 30 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jianlian Yi * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Charlie Villanueva * | 20 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Bobby Simmons * | 17 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Royal Ivey * | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Michael Ruffin * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 43 | 9-15 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 42 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 10-16 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Luke Jackson * | 13 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Daequan Cook | 16 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
* = starter