Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +4 (98-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Horford * | 40 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 38 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 12-12 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 35 | 8-18 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Acie Law * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 4 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 40 | 13-22 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 26 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 26 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Dwayne Jones * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter