Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✗ (22.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -17 (95-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baron Davis * | 43 | 8-23 | 3-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 40 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 34 | 6-14 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 33 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Kelenna Azubuike * | 21 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus * | 10 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafer Alston * | 44 | 8-17 | 2-9 | 4-7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 42 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 32 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Luther Head * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Steve Novak * | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter