Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 28.5% | 71.5% | +5.0 | ✓ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +24 (111-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Miller * | 39 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Rudy Gay * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Darko Milicic * | 28 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Juan Carlos Navarro * | 25 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Mike Conley * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Damon Stoudamire * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Hakim Warrick | 8 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Andre Brown | 5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 12-12 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 23 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 34 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 33 | 10-20 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 31 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 23 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keith Langford | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Francisco Elson | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| DerMarr Johnson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter