Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.2 | ✗ (24.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +22 (96-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 38 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Luke Jackson * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 2-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Joel Anthony * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mark Blount | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 34 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 30 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Darius Songaila * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Mike Wilks * | 23 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Andray Blatche * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Nick Young * | 15 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Dominic McGuire * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter