Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +13 (97-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 46 | 6-18 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 2 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 41 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 32 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Al Horford * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Josh Childress * | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Acie Law * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Mario West | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 40 | 7-16 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 8-19 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 33 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 32 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 10-12 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 20 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Devean George * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter