Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -7 (114-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 45 | 8-18 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 44 | 6-20 | 2-9 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 44 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 33 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 37 | 5-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo * | 30 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| James Augustine | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 51 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 51 | 16-21 | 0-0 | 16-23 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 48 | 46 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 48 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 41 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 29 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Luke Jackson * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mark Blount | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter