Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +14 (96-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 8-16 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 39 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 39 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mark Blount | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Luke Jackson | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 38 | 9-19 | 0-3 | 7-11 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 24 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 32 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 30 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 26 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dwayne Jones | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Eric Snow | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter