Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +2 (104-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 39 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 9-12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 32 | 4-16 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 27 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Jarron Collins * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyrylo Fesenko * | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 38 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 35 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 33 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 30 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 22 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Earl Barron * | 14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
* = starter