Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.0% | 63.0% | +2.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (108-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 37 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Grant Hill * | 36 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 36 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 35 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 34 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 20 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Brian Skinner * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 10-20 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 35 | 9-19 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 31 | 8-16 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 29 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 27 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Devean George * | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter