Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (114-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 49 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 20-22 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 35 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 46 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 46 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 38 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Marion | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jason Williams | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 53 | 11-25 | 0-8 | 3-5 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Marvin Williams * | 50 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Johnson * | 36 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Josh Smith * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Mario West * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Al Horford * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Shelden Williams * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Acie Law * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mike Bibby | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Childress | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter