Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (111-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 42 | 10-14 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 40 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Dwight Howard * | 36 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 25 | - |
| Keith Bogans * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jameer Nelson * | 30 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Maurice Evans * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Keyon Dooling * | 17 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| JJ Redick * | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 12-24 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 19 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 38 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 32 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 31 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 23 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 22 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 10-10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Devean George * | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter