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2007-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 20.1% 79.9% +5.7 โœ— (18.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% - โœ—
Margin 31.9% 68.1% +4.2 โœ— (17.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 44.1% 55.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 44.1% 55.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 42.2% 57.8% - โœ—

Actual: Houston Rockets -13 (83-96). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 39 7-16 0-1 6-6 6 8 1 0 1 20 18 -
Josh Howard * 37 9-18 1-3 4-5 5 1 1 1 1 23 12 -
Devin Harris * 37 5-7 2-3 2-2 2 7 5 0 3 14 18 -
Jerry Stackhouse * 28 6-13 2-4 3-3 3 1 2 0 2 17 8 -
Erick Dampier * 28 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 2 7 -
Jason Terry * 24 4-8 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 10 5 -
Brandon Bass * 16 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
Eddie Jones * 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
DeSagana Diop * 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 2 3 -
Juwan Howard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ming Yao * 41 10-18 0-0 8-8 14 3 1 3 3 28 28 -
Tracy McGrady * 38 5-18 1-6 1-2 5 3 0 1 1 12 2 -
Shane Battier * 35 4-10 3-5 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 11 5 -
Chuck Hayes * 28 2-3 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 2 5 8 -
Luther Head * 25 2-6 0-4 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 6 5 -
Steve Francis * 23 1-8 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 5 3 -5 -
Bonzi Wells * 20 3-4 0-0 2-3 2 0 2 0 2 8 6 -
Luis Scola * 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 3 0 -
Mike James * 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Kirk Snyder 6 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
Aaron Brooks 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter