Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✗ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -3 (103-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Granger * | 38 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 37 | 10-27 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 4 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 29 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kareem Rush | 18 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| David Harrison | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 40 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 38 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 12-13 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 37 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 19 | 5-14 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter