Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -11 (93-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Calderon * | 41 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 37 | 9-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 34 | 9-14 | 6-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Dunleavy * | 40 | 10-21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 38 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 33 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Danny Granger * | 31 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Kareem Rush * | 21 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Marquis Daniels * | 11 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| David Harrison * | 10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Shawne Williams | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter