Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +16 (92-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 39 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 34 | 8-17 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 20 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 18 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Devean George * | 12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Trenton Hassell * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J.J. Barea | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Calderon * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Kris Humphries * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Jamario Moon * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Parker * | 26 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Carlos Delfino * | 21 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Andrea Bargnani * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Darrick Martin * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter