Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +8 (125-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deron Williams * | 34 | 13-20 | 3-4 | 12-13 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 41 | 30 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Ronnie Brewer * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 27 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Paul Millsap * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| CJ Miles * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mehmet Okur * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jarron Collins * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Howard * | 42 | 14-19 | 4-5 | 15-17 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 47 | 40 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 36 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 35 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 31 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Devean George | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter