Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +7 (120-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 45 | 11-23 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 15 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 42 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 38 | 8-19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 26 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 21 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 43 | 8-20 | 4-11 | 8-9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Baron Davis * | 42 | 8-19 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 39 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Matt Barnes * | 28 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Andris Biedrins * | 23 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Al Harrington * | 19 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kelenna Azubuike * | 19 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 9 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Mickael Pietrus | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| DJ Mbenga | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter