Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | +0.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +6 (112-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 41 | 9-26 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 40 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 40 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 30 | 9-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 30 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-9 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Roy * | 38 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 20 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 31 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 29 | 9-17 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 29 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| James Jones * | 27 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Martell Webster * | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Channing Frye | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz | 4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter