Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 28.8% | 71.2% | +5.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +2 (97-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 40 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 38 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 38 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Jerry Stackhouse * | 32 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Devin Harris * | 26 | 2-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Bass * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J.J. Barea * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Trenton Hassell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruce Bowen * | 42 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 39 | 12-24 | 2-5 | 11-12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 37 | 22 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 9-22 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 3 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 31 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Robert Horry | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Bonner | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter