Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (23.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +26 (115-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ricky Davis * | 26 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dorell Wright * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Daequan Cook * | 22 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 19 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Chris Quinn * | 16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Alexander Johnson * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alonzo Mourning | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Iverson * | 35 | 9-19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 30 | - |
| JR Smith * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Carmelo Anthony * | 26 | 12-19 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 24 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 22 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Linas Kleiza * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Yakhouba Diawara | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jelani McCoy | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bobby Jones | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Von Wafer | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter